Poker experiment

I cashed out yesterday - everything except 5$ and some cents.

Why? For setting up a little experiment. (well, and to pay some bills)

This Month, i want to simulate a beginner situation.
On most sites, you will receive a small real money bonus at signup, from like 5 to 50 USD.

I want to find out how long it will take me to build up a 100-USD-Bankroll and how often I'll get broke on my way there. If the Experiment goes right, maybe I'll extend to 200 or even 1000 USD goal, but first checkpoint is 100$.

I'm playing no limit Texas Hold'em and will play mostly <=5$ SNGs, including Heads Up.
Thats just becuz you need much more cash (min. 10 times the buy-in) for cashgames to compensate bad swings.
And playing cashgame in microlimits sucks BTW, thats not fun.

At the beginning (OK, nearly all my way to the 100$) I'll have to violate Bankroll management rules, so there is a good chance that I might get broke. If this happens, I'll cash back in for 10$, max. 10 times. If I'd need more, the experiment failed, and I'll continue playing my cashgames ;)

Second experiment part is to find out whether such a low-roller can achieve a PStars VIP Status. Goal is 'Silver Star', for which you need 1500 VP-Points per Month.
I played a bit the first and the second day of this month, so my low-roller starts with ~190 VPP.

I played one Heads-Up and one SNG, finished first both times.
After this initial session, my Low-Roller now has:

100% 1st (2/2)
100% ITM (2/2)
13.54 USD (+8)
160% ROI (compared to the 5$)
194 VPP (Bronze Star)

So - Betting is Open - What do you think:
a) will I achieve the 100$?
b) how long will it take?
c) how often I'll get broke?
d) will I achieve SilverStar VIP Status?

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